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Effective combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) protects the health of HIV-infected individuals and greatly decreases the risk for transmitting the virus to sexual partners. The PARTNER study recently reported zero transmissions over an estimated 44,400 condom-unprotected sex acts involving serodiscordant heterosexual and same-sex couples in which the HIV-infected partner was virologically suppressed. Now, researchers have analyzed data on heterosexual couples from this study and six others to estimate the risk for transmission from an infected partner on ART for >6 months — the period generally needed to achieve virologic suppression.
Using Bayesian modeling, the researchers estimated the transmission risk per condomless sex act for two …