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As the FDA and CDC continue to assess the utility of COVID-19 booster vaccinations, three more studies expand our understanding of longer-term responses to full immunization with the Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA vaccine (BNT162b2).
Levin and colleagues performed monthly assessments of anti-spike IgG and SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies in 3808 immunized Israeli healthcare workers. They found that IgG antibodies peaked 4–30 days after the second dose, then consistently declined during the 6-month study period. Neutralizing antibody titers also fell, but the rate of decline was steeper from 1–3 months than 3–6 months. Decreases in both IgG and neutralizing antibodies were greater with older age, male sex, ≥2 comorbidities, and autoimmune disease or immunosuppression.
Chemaitelly and colleagues used a test-negative, case-control study design to evaluate vaccine effectiveness among 947,035 BNT162b2 recipients in Qatar. Effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection peaked at 77% within the first month after complete vaccination, then progressively declined to 20% during months 5–7. In contrast, effectiveness against COVID-19 hospitalization and death attained at least 96% within the first month and did not drop throughout 6 months.
Tartof and colleagues assessed BNT162b2 effectiveness in 3,436,957 individuals in the Kaiser Permanente Southern California healthcare system. Throughout the 6-month study, 184,081 SARS-CoV-2 infections and 12,130 COVID-19 hospitalizations occurred. Effectiveness against infection fell from 88% during the first month to 47% after the fifth month. Effectiveness against hospitalization was 87% at 1 month and 88% at 5 months. Protection against infection with the Delta variant was similar to that against other variants within the first month (93% and 97%, respectively), then declined over time compared with other variants (53% and 67%; comparison not significant).
Levin EG et al. Waning immune humoral response to BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccine over 6 months. N Engl J Med 2021 Oct 6; [e-pub]. (https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2114583)
Chemaitelly H et al. Waning of BNT162b2 vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection in Qatar. N Engl J Med 2021 Oct 6; [e-pub]. (https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2114114)
Tartof SY et al. Effectiveness of mRNA BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine up to 6 months in a large integrated health system in the USA: A retrospective cohort study. Lancet 2021 Oct 4; [e-pub]. (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02183-8)
Comment
These data support other recent findings regarding the immunity induced by SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines (NEJM JW Infect Dis Sep 28 2021; [e-pub]): Namely, protection against any SARS-CoV-2 infection falls during the first 6 months, but that against severe infection remains relatively durable. The dissimilarity of the two response types likely reflects the need for high levels of preexisting antibody to prevent initial infection, whereas prevention of severe illness can be gained from subsequent immune augmentation through anamnestic antibody production by memory cells and activation of cell-mediated antiviral immunity. From my own perspective, the public health implications of preventing SARS-CoV-2 infections — and the current uncertainty about long-term clinical consequences of milder COVID-19 — favor the use of booster doses.