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Several years ago, Reuben Granich and colleagues published a landmark paper in the Lancet, projecting the effects that a provocative “test-and-treat” approach could have on the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa (JW AIDS Clin Care Dec 15 2008). Now, these researchers have enhanced their analysis, with a focus on net health-system costs and the cost-effectiveness of widely expanded access to antiretroviral therapy (ART).
Granich and colleagues used a mathematical model to examine four possible thresholds for ART eligibility — CD4 count <200 cells/mm3, CD4 count <350 cells/mm3, CD4 count <500 cells/mm3, and “ART for all” (any CD4-cell count) — in an ideally functioning program (i.e., 90% annual testing, optimal linkage to care, and 1.5% annual…