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In the widely used Adult Treatment Panel (ATP) III guideline, diabetes is a coronary risk equivalent, conferring a 10-year risk for adverse coronary events that exceeds 20%. However, this designation clearly overstates 10-year risk for some patients. Because glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) has been proposed as a more refined predictor of risk, researchers assessed measurement of HbA1c in two prospective cohort studies: the Women's Health Study (24,674 women; median follow-up, 10.2 years) and the Physicians' Health Study II (11,280 men; median follow-up, 11.8 years).
For diabetic women in the Women's Health Study, adding HbA1c to the ATP III model (which includes entries for smoking, blood pressure, and lipids) improved predictive accuracy fo…