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The risk for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) in patients with Barrett esophagus (BE) appears to be relatively modest, challenging the cost-effectiveness of current screening recommendations. Maximizing resource utilization might be helped by limiting surveillance to high-risk patients. Risk factors for progression (length of BE, presence of dysplasia, hiatal hernia >3 cm, increasing age, obesity, smoking, and male gender) have been identified in some studies but not in others (NEJM JW Gastroenterol May 2017 and Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017; 15:950).
To further investigate predictors of progression in BE, researchers conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of data from 20 cohort studies comprising approximately 75,000 patients with…