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The Mayo risk score is commonly used by clinicians to advise patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) regarding their prognosis. However, this scoring system predicts only short-term survival and does not predict the need for liver transplantation.
Now, using clinical and genetic data from a large research cohort of patients with PSC in the U.K., investigators have developed and validated a new scoring system to predict risk for transplantation or death (all-cause). Data from 1000 patients were used to derive separate models that predicted short-term (2-year) and long-term (10-year) risks, and the results were validated in two independent, external cohorts totaling 450 patients.
Approximately one third of the derivation cohort under…