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Residents of long-term care facilities are at high risk for severe COVID-19. In the Omicron era, would a fourth dose of mRNA vaccine (mRNA-1273 or BNT162b2) benefit this population? A Canadian test-negative cohort study between December 2021 and April 2022 involving >61,000 long-term care residents (aged >60 years, 9.4% immunocompromised) provides an answer.
Compared with vaccine effectiveness in residents who had received their third dose ≥84 days before being tested, effectiveness of a fourth dose was 19% (any infection), 31% (symptomatic infection), and 40% (severe outcomes [hospital admission or death]). Effectiveness of the third dose waned with time (i.e., ≥84 days before testing vs. more recently). For residents receiving at least one dose compared with those who were unvaccinated, effectiveness increased with each dose: 37% (any infection), 55% (symptomatic infection), and 77% (severe outcomes) for three doses, and 49%, 69%, and 86% for four doses. Heterologous vaccine dosing had little impact on effectiveness.
Grewal R et al. Effectiveness of a fourth dose of covid-19 mRNA vaccine against the omicron variant among long term care residents in Ontario, Canada: Test negative design study. BMJ 2022 Jul 6; 378:e071502. (https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2022-071502)
Comment
Taken together with a recent study in Israel (NEJM JW Infect Dis Jul 2022 and BMJ 2022; 377:e071113), this analysis provides solid evidence that a fourth vaccine dose augments protection against COVID-19 and should in particular be recommended for older individuals. Still, the increase in effectiveness of a fourth over a third dose was modest, probably because of the Omicron variant's partial immune escape. Until more-effective vaccines become available, standard protective measures such as masks, ventilation, and distancing remain important in the fight against COVID-19.